ManifestIQ — Global Launch Manifest & Reliability
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ManifestIQ — Global Launch Manifest & Reliability

Every orbital-class launch attempt in history, normalized into one analytics-ready dataset — vehicle, operator, date, payload, orbit, outcome — rolled up into per-vehicle and per-provider reliability with a volume-aware Wilson confidence interval. The spine is Jonathan McDowell’s GCAT launch log; CelesTrak SATCAT supplies the payloads each launch delivered, bridged on the COSPAR designator. Rule-based core, no LLM.

Preview-only page. The teaser shows a handful of real launch rows with the SATCAT cross-link counts redacted, and the full Wilson reliability leaderboards are gated. The complete dataset and exports are provided after licensing.

Coverage & headline numbers Status: live · fully populated end-to-end

7,335
Orbital-class launch attempts
1957 → 2026
6,777 / 133 / 425
Success / partial / failure
93.3% success (partials half-weighted)
541
Distinct vehicles (type × variant)
434 families
124
Distinct providers
across 20 countries
68,904
SATCAT payloads cross-linked
by COSPAR designator
1,074
Provider-year cadence cells
+ global market share

Marquee reliability hook (full leaderboard gated): Falcon 9 (FT5) — 599 launches · 0.992 Wilson LB SpaceX — 685 launches · 0.974 Wilson LB

What’s in it 5 SQLite (WAL) tables · launches spine + payload cross-link + reliability hubs

The launches spine is enriched by a SATCAT payloads cross-link and rolled up into vehicles, providers, and provider_year hubs. Locked columns are the computed cross-link counts and Wilson reliability outputs — the sellable analytics — gated in this preview.

launches — one row per orbital-class attempt

launch_tagCOSPAR launch tag (e.g. 2026-146)
launch_date / launch_year / launch_monthParsed launch time
display_vehicle / lv_type / variantNormalized vehicle type × variant
display_provider / provider_countryNormalized launching agency
launch_siteLaunch site code
outcome / is_success / is_partial / is_failureDocumented outcome
orbit_class / dest_orbitTarget orbit
payload_count / distinct_operatorsFrom the SATCAT cross-link
mission_classrideshare vs dedicated (derived)

vehicles & providers — reliability hubs

launch_count / success / partial / failureOutcome tallies
first / last_launch_yearActive span
providers_flown / vehicles_flownCross-references
parent_provider / countryAgency normalization (providers)
success_rate_rawRaw success rate
reliability_wilsonWilson 95% lower bound (volume-aware)

payloads & provider_year

object_name / norad_cat_id / object_typeSATCAT object identity
owner_code / owner_countryOperator attribution
decay_date / is_decayed / orbit_typeOn-orbit status
matched_launch_idBridge from payload to its launch
market_shareProvider’s share of global launches that year

Teaser sample 8 of 7,335 launches · cross-link payload counts redacted

Real, recent rows from the live spine. The SATCAT-derived payload count, distinct operators, and mission class — the cross-link that neither source exposes alone — are masked, and the full Wilson reliability leaderboards are not shown.

Launch manifest — preview (cross-link columns redacted)
Launch date Tag Vehicle Provider Country Outcome Payloads Mission class
2026-06-262026-146ElectronRocket LabNew Zealandsuccess••••••••
2026-06-242026-145Falcon 9 (FT5)SpaceXUnited Statessuccess••••••••
2026-06-232026-144Chang Zheng 7ACASCChinasuccess••••••••
2026-06-212026-143Falcon 9 (FT5)SpaceXUnited Statessuccess••••••••
2026-06-192026-142Electron (2)Rocket LabNew Zealandsuccess••••••••
2026-06-172026-140Ariane 64 (1)ArianespaceFrancesuccess••••••••
2026-06-172026-138Kuaizhou-11ExPaceChinasuccess••••••••
2026-06-172026-137Chang Zheng 12SASTChinasuccess••••••••

Sources & method

  • GCAT — Jonathan McDowell’s General Catalog of Artificial Objects (CC-BY; credit Jonathan C. McDowell, planet4589.org/space/gcat): the launch spine + agency normalization.
  • CelesTrak SATCAT — every catalogued on-orbit object; supplies the payload cross-link by COSPAR tag.
  • Scoring — Wilson score lower bound (95%, z = 1.96); partial = ½ success; the denominator excludes unknown-outcome launches; low n widens the interval (automatic volume weighting).

Outcome labels are GCAT’s, not independently re-adjudicated. Derived analytics, not underwriting advice. Not affiliated with any catalog maintainer, agency, or launch provider. Verify CelesTrak terms before commercial redistribution.

Request the full live sample

Get the complete 7,335-launch manifest, the 68,904-payload cross-link, the full per-vehicle and per-provider Wilson reliability leaderboards, and provider-year cadence — as CSV / JSON / Excel.

✉  Request the full live sample

No dataset is downloadable from this page. Access is provided directly after a short email exchange.